Where does the value currently lie when it comes to betting on football outrights in all four of England’s top divisions?
Here, we run through the latest football outright betting in the Premier League, Championship, Leagues 1 & 2, and how results are shaping the odds.
Football Outright Betting – February 2020
Premier League winner odds
With a 22-point lead at the top of the Premier League table, Liverpool look to already have one hand on the trophy and finally end 28 years of frustrating by lifting a maiden title in the competition. With a lead that looks almost unassailable, it’s unsurprising the Reds are currently 1/1000 to be lifting the trophy this May.
A collapse from Jurgen Klopp’s side now would have to be of epic proportions, but nearest challengers Man City are 60/1 to capitalise if you still believe there’s an extraordinary twist in the tale to come.
Top four odds
With double-digit leads over fifth place, Liverpool, Man City (1/1000) and Leicester City (2/25) look to have all but locked up three of the four Champions League spots in the Premier League, but it’s the race for fourth that looks set to be the most hotly-contested battle over the last few months of the season.
Chelsea (9/20) currently sit in the box seat but indifferent form has seen them fail to pull away – opening the door for Tottenham Hotspur (11/4) and Man Utd (15/2) to close the gap. All three gaps have been dogged by inconsistency this season, which could make Wolves (10/1) the value option in this market if Nuno’s slick side can keep themselves in the chasing pack.
Premier League relegation odds
The relegation battle looks to be among the most interesting of the Premier League outrights markets, with even Arsenal in 10th only seven points away from danger. At 125/1 it seems unlikely the Gunners have too much to worry about despite their underwhelming season, but below them it seems a toss-up between a whole range of clubs.
Norwich’s lack of Premier League experience looks to be sending the rock-bottom Canaries back down to the Championship at the first time of asking (2/25), while Aston Villa (4/5) look overly reliant on Jack Grealish to drag them away from trouble. West Ham’s lack of ‘new manager bounce’ under David Moyes combined with a horrendous fixture list sees them priced at 32/25 to fall through the relegation trap door. Bournemouth (5/4), Brighton (7/2) and Watford (6/4) are nip and tuck in the Premier League relegation odds and will need to find some consistency before they can breathe easy.
Premier League Golden Boot Odds
Last year’s golden boot was ultimately shared between three players – Mo Salah, Sadio Mane and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, and 2019/20 looks set to be another close-run thing.
Sergio Agüero (81/50) and Jamie Vardy (5/2) are currently tussling for top spot, while Aubemeyang (23/2) could once again provide the value in this market.
Championship Winner Odds
Leeds (43/50) and West Brom (127/40) have been leading the way for most of the season in the Championship, but with a place in the Premier League within touching distance, both have shown signs of feeling the pressure in recent weeks. That suggests the value could lie elsewhere looking over the Championship winner odds.
Marcelo Bielsa’s side’s continual struggle to finish off teams could be their ultimate Achilles’ heel, while West Brom’s defence could also be their undoing. That leaves two west London clubs leading the charge to snatch their automatic promotion spots. With plenty of goalscoring prowess, Brentford (36/5) and Fulham (10/1) both look well-placed to capitalise if the top two continue to wobble.
League One Winner Odds
Looking for excitement? Look no further. The League One promotion race already looks to be heading all the way to the final day, with the top seven sides separated by just eight points.
Ipswich (21/2) had been leading the way for much of the season, but have shown signs of faltering in recent months, and that’s seen a Rotherham (111/50) side that continually yo-yo between this division and the Championship take full advantage.
Portsmouth also look to be on the march under the hugely experienced Kenny Jackett after a flying start to 2020. Currently priced at 43/10 in the League One winner odds, they could be the ones to watch.
League Two Winner Odds
Finally in League Two, current league leaders Swindon Town (67/50) received a huge boost at the end of January with the news that loan rangers Eoin Doyle and Jerry Yates would be rejoining them for the rest of the campaign. The Robins continue to impress under the astute Richie Wellens, and look every inch title-winners in the making.
If Swindon hit a sticky patch, a resurgent Plymouth Argyle look intriguing at 31/10 in the League Two winner odds and have a winner with proven League Two-promotion pedigree in Ryan Lowe. After finishing second with Bury in 2018/19, can he go one step further this time around with the Pilgrims?
Odds correct at time of writing and may be subject to change.
Who are your tips to top the table?
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