There’s now less than one month to go until British voters head to the polls in one of the most defining elections in decades.
With Brexit, the NHS and leadership credentials all likely to be playing on the minds of voters as they cast their ballots on 12 December, it’s shaping up to be one of the hardest elections to call in years.
Here’s how the shape of the race currently looks in the General Election betting with just over four weeks for voters to make up their minds.
General Elections Odds – How Things Stand
General Election Betting – Most Seats
The 2019 election campaign has taken time to kick into gear, but its first significant moment probably arrived earlier this week with Nigel Farage’s announcement that he would be standing down Brexit Party candidates in 317 constituencies. That decision could have big ramifications for the Conservatives – who are now priced at 1/33 with Marathonbet to have the most seats on the 13th December.
Labour have steadily been closing the gap after making most of the early running on the campaign trail, but recent polls they suggest they still have some work to do to convince voters to change course this Christmas. The chief opposition party are 11/1 to overhaul the Tories to become the largest party in the new parliament.
Jo Swinson has rallied her Lib Dem supporters at the start of the 2019 campaign with the message she can become Britain’s next Prime Minister. At 29/1 in the current General Election betting to take most seats, that looks a stretch as things stand – but as we all know, politics has never been more unpredictable.
General Election – Overall Majority Betting
Nigel Farage’s dramatic decision to give the Tories a free run against anti-Brexit parties in over 300 seats means a Conservative majority now looks marginally the most likely outcome at this election at 1/2.
However, with the Brexit Party leader still looking to field candidates in marginal constituencies and the EU unlikely to be the only big talking point over the next month, this December’s election outcome still looks volatile. That could make No Overall Majority tempting at 8/5. It’s worth remembering that the 2017 election looked a foregone conclusion at the start of campaigning before costly self-inflicted errors from Theresa May saw her throw away her party’s majority.
Over the next four weeks, one thing is guaranteed – in the 24/7 social media age, all parties will suffer embarrassing moments.
Which party wobbles least could go some way to determining who Britain returns to No. 10.
Next Permanent Leader Betting
Skipping forward to the post-election inquest, one of the most interesting politics markets for potential value are the Next Permanent Leader odds.
Judging by recent elections, it’s likely at least one of the major party leaders will fall on their sword after an underwhelming election night.
That could open up at least one of the two biggest roles in UK politics.
Should Jeremy Corbyn opt to step aside, it looks like Labour could finally elect its first female leader with Rebecca Long-Bailey (5/1), Angela Rayner (9/1) and Laura Pidcock (10/1) all likely to throw their hats into the ring. However, Brexit spokesman Keir Starmer (9/2) currently leads the field after building his profile over the last two years as Shadow Brexit Secretary.
If it’s bye bye Boris before Christmas Day, the race to lead the Tories looks even more wide open. Chanceller Sajid Javid (9/1) currently looks to be in the box-seat to claim the crown having now occupied two of the four most high-profile roles in government.
Perennial leadership contender Michael Gove (14/1) could try and make it third time lucky, while Penny Mourdant (14/1) looks interesting as a candidate who could potentially unite all wings of the party.
Keep track of all the General Election odds with Marathonbet.
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