Where does the value currently lie when it comes to betting on football outrights in all four of England’s top divisions?
Football Outright Betting | Current State of Play
Here, we run through the latest football outright betting in the Premier League, Championship, Leagues 1 & 2.
We’re approaching the halfway stage of the 2020/21 Premier League season with no one side looking dominant. Can anyone stop Liverpool (33/20) from retaining their title?
In this most irregular of seasons, no one side currently looks in the mood to pull away.
With fixture congestion likely to become even more of a problem over the coming months due to Covid restrictions, cup games, and the freezing weather, it’s shaping up to be the most unpredictable end to a Premier League season in history.
Strong form over the festive period has brought both Manchester clubs firmly back into the reckoning, with Man City (121/100) edging out rivals Man Utd (13/2) in the current EPL outright betting with Marathonbet.
Leicester City (37/1) refuse to go away under Brendan Rodgers, while Tottenham Hotspur (14/1) look to have the solid foundations in place under José Mourinho to keep themselves in a season-long hunt, even if his tactical set-up doesn’t win over many neutral observers.
As Leicester City proved less than five years ago, miracles do happen in football. Sadly for Sheffield Utd, most teams praying for one don’t get that fairy-tale ending.
Can Chris Wilder’s side pull off arguably the biggest surprise in Premier League history since that shock Foxes’ title win? A ‘great escape’ from their current perilous situation would send all sorts of survival records tumbling.
The Blades broke unwanted new ground in December by making the worst ever start to a Premier League season, and Utd are now a brutal 1/25 to drop back into the EFL Championship after just two years away.
It’s been a bruising start at times for Sam Allardyce at West Brom (17/100). The veteran firefighter has been brought in by the Baggies board to mastermind another survival bid, but this looks to be his toughest gig yet after successful turnaround missions at Sunderland, Crystal Palace and Everton in recent seasons.
If those two sides look most pundits’ current lock-ins to occupy one of the bottom three slots, a clutch of sides still look to be in the fight to avoid the last remaining relegation spot.
Fulham (7/10) and Brighton (7/2) have been flirting dangerously with the drop all season and could be punished for their lack of clinical finishing in front of goal.
The Seagulls’ XG stats suggests they might not be too far away from clicking into gear, but their inability to find a long-term replacement for Glenn Murray could finally prove costly after several seasons of treading water in the top flight.
One team glancing over their shoulders might be Newcastle Utd (7/2), given the Magpies never seem to be more than one week away from a mini crisis.
Steve Bruce remains an unpopular figure on Tyneside and, after an underwhelming winter for his charges, he surely needs some quick-fire wins to help change the mood.
Burnley have new backers – and have promised Sean Dyche some much-overdue money to spend in the January window.
The Clarets have always had to be squad built on hard work and no egos during Dyche’s reign. Could a raft of new signings actually prove counterproductive for a team used to boxing clever? Burnley are 3/1 to slip into the second tier.
Is the gap between the Premier League and Championship becoming insurmountable?
It certainly seems that way looking at the first quarter of the EFL Championship season in a post-COVID landscape where belts have been tightened everywhere.
Norwich (179/100) and Bournemouth (141/50) look to have shrugged off relegation hangovers for the most part, emerging as big hitters again back in the second tier.
Punters seem a tad more wary about Watford (65/4) – and perhaps that’s wise given their tendency to rip up and start again at the first sign of trouble. On the flipside, new boss Xisco has a PL-ready squad to work with if his squad buy into his ideas.
Brentford (149/50) look to be kicking on strongly at the midpoint of the campaign as they bid to avoid another season of potential play-off heartbreak. The Bees looked unstoppable at times in the second half of the 2019/20 campaign before a late-season wobble allowed West Brom to firm up second place. Thomas Frank will be hoping his side have the mental resilience to stay the distance this time around.
The Championship is a league known for a surprise outsider making headway. Reading (47/1) and Swansea (43/4) are the two sides that look best placed to capitalise should any of the pre-season favourites falter in the run-in.
Can they keep up with the relentless pace being set at the top of the table?
After a hapless campaign that saw Hull City (72/25) finish bottom of the EFL Championship in 2019/20, the Tigers look to be reaping the rewards of keeping the faith with Grant McCann.
A fresh start could have been the easiest option for all concerned, but bar the occasional blip, the Tigers have consistently looked authentic automatic promotion candidates in the third tier. Perennial promotion candidates Portsmouth (67/25) have also brushed off disappointment from last season to stake their claim for a top two finish.
However, in a league that habitually throws up surprise winners, it’s Lincoln City (49/10) who could be hitting the dizzy heights of Championship football next year after a stellar first full campaign for Michael Appleton.
The Imps are currently keeping the rest of the division at bay and might just be happy to have points in the bag given many of their rivals will be playing catch-up this spring as fixtures start to pile up.
While the post-Covid landscape has been a living nightmare for most League Two clubs, it’s arguably helped shine a light on some of the most talented up-and-coming managers in the EFL.
Michael Flynn, Michael Duff and Chris Beech all look to be coaches on the way up, and that’s reflected in both the league table and the betting. Newport (15/4), Cheltenham (71/10) and Carlisle Utd (59/20) could be the trio that push on over the hectic winter schedule.
However, financial might and lofty ambitions probably hand Salford City (15/2) and Forest Green (87/20) wriggle room to make late tilts for the title.
Both clubs also boast managers with promotion-winning experience on their CVs in the form of Richie Wellens and Mark Cooper.
While the EFL Cup has been dominated by Man City in recent seasons, the FA Cup has been far more volatile, with the famous trophy changing hands for the last five seasons in a row.
Arsenal (37/4) are of course renowned FA Cup specialists, with the holders winning this tournament a mammoth 14 times, but it’s Man City (71/20) who start as marginal favourites to triumph at Wembley at the end of the current campaign.
Given their stellar progress in recent seasons, the FA Cup remains a rare miss for Liverpool (71/10) who have not won this tournament since 2006. Nevertheless, they start as second favourites, closely followed by Man Utd (41/5), Chelsea (8/1) and Tottenham Hotspur (87/10).
It’s increasingly rare to see a long-shot winner taste FA Cup glory – with only Portsmouth and Wigan managing to pull off a fairy-tale win in recent times. However, if you fancy some of the old ‘magic’ to return in 2020/21, Wolves (37/2), Everton (33/2) and Southampton (34/1) all looks excellent value away from the Big Six to serve up a surprise cup triumph.
Odds correct at time of writing and may be subject to change.
Who are your tips to top the table?
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